Saturday, September 1, 2012

Financial Meltdown - The End of a 300 Year Ponzi task

Panic struck on Wall Street, as the Dow Jones industrial mean plunged a thousand points between July and August, and commentators warned of a 1929-style crash. To preclude that dire result, the U.S. Federal Reserve, along with the central banks of Europe, Canada, Australia and Japan, extended a 315 billion dollar lifeline to troubled banks and investment firms. The hemorrhage stopped, the markets turned around, and investors breathed a sigh of relief. All was well again in Stepfordville. Or was it? And if it was, at what cost? Three hundred billion dollars is about a third of the total paid by U.S. Taxpayers in personal income taxes annually. A mere 8 billion would have been enough to repair all of the 74,000 U.S. Bridges known to be defective, preventing an additional one disaster like that in Minneapolis in July. But the central banks' 0 billion was poured instead into the black hole of rescuing the very banks and hedge funds blamed for the "liquidity" crisis (the dried up well of investment money), encouraging loan sharks and speculators in their profligate ways.

Where did the central banks find the 0 billion? Central banks are "lenders of last resort." agreeing to the Federal reserve Bank of Atlanta's "Economic Review", "to function as a lender of last resort [a central bank] must have authority to originate money, i.e., provide unlimited liquidity on demand."1 In short, central banks can originate money out of thin air. expanding the money provide ("demand") without expanding goods and services ("supply") is very inflationary; but this money-creating power is said to be necessary to literal, the periodic shop failures to which the banking law is inherently prone.2 "Busts" have followed "booms" so usually and predictably in the last 300 years that the phenomenon has been dubbed the "business cycle," as if it were an immutable trait of free markets like the weather. But in fact it is an immutable trait only of a banking law based on the sleight of hand known as "fractional-reserve" lending. The banks themselves routinely originate money out of thin air, and they need a lender of last resort to bail them out whenever they get caught short in this sleight of hand.

Running straight through this whole drama is a larger theme, one that nobody is talking about and that can't be cured by fiddling with interest rates or throwing liquidity at banks making too-risky loans. The theorize the contemporary banking law is prone to periodic shop failures is that it is a Ponzi scheme, one that is basically a fraud on the people. Like all Ponzi schemes, it can go on only so long before it reaches its mathematical limits; and there is good evidence that we are there now. If we are to avoid the greatest shop crash in history, we must eliminate the fundamental fraud; and to do that we need to understand what is authentically going on.

The 300 Year Ponzi scheme Known as "Fractional-Reserve" Lending

A Ponzi scheme is a form of pyramid scheme in which earlier players are paid with the money of later players, until no more unwary investors are ready to be sucked in at the bottom and the pyramid collapses, leaving the last investors holding the bag. Our economic Ponzi scheme dates back to Oliver Cromwell's revolt in seventeenth century England. Before that, the power to issue money was the sovereign right of the King, and for anything else to do it was considered treason. But Cromwell did not have entrance to this money-creating power. He had to borrow from foreign moneylenders to fund his revolt; and they agreed to lend only on health that they be allowed back into England, from which they had been banned centuries earlier. In 1694, the Bank of England was chartered to a group of secret moneylenders, who were allowed to print banknotes and lend them to the government at interest; and these secret banknotes became the national money supply. They were ostensibly backed by gold; but under the fractional-reserve lending scheme, the whole of gold kept in "reserve" was only a fraction of the value of the notes authentically printed and lent. This convention grew out of the discovery of goldsmiths, that customers who left their gold and silver for safekeeping would come for it only about 10 percent of the time. Thus ten paper banknotes "backed" by a pound of silver could safely be printed and lent for every pound of silver the goldsmiths held in reserve. Nine of the notes were essentially counterfeits.

The Bank of England became the pattern for the law known today as "central banking." A particular bank, usually conspiratorially owned, is given a monopoly over issuing the nation's currency, which is then lent to the government, usurping the government's sovereign power to originate money itself. In the United States, formal adoption of this law dates to the Federal reserve Act of 1913; but secret banks have created the national money provide ever since the country was founded. Before 1913, multiple secret banks issued banknotes with their own names on them; and as in England, the banks issued notes for much more gold than was in their vaults. The scheme worked until the customers got suspicious and all demanded their gold at once, when there would be a "run" on the banks and they would have to close their doors. The Federal reserve (or "Fed") was instituted to salvage the banks from these crises by creating and lending money on demand. The banks themselves were already creating money out of nothing, but the Fed served as a backup source, generating the customer belief necessary to carry on the fractional-reserve lending scheme.

Today, coins are the only money issued by the U.S. Government, and they construct only about one one-thousandth of the money supply. Federal reserve Notes (dollar bills) are issued by the privately-owned Federal reserve and lent to the government and to industrial banks. Coins and Federal reserve Notes together, however, construct less than 3 percent of the money supply. The rest is created by industrial banks as loans. The idea that virtually all of our money has been created by secret banks is so foreign to what we have been taught that it can be difficult to grasp, but many reputable authorities have attested to it. (See E. Brown, "Dollar Deception: How Banks conspiratorially originate Money," http://www.webofdebt.com/articles, July 3, 2007.)

Among other problems with this law of money creation is that banks originate the necessary but not the interest necessary to pay back their loans; and that is where the Ponzi scheme comes in. Since loans from the Federal reserve or industrial banks are the only source of new money in the economy, further borrowers must continually be found to take out new loans to improve the money supply, in order to pay the interest creamed off by the bankers. New sources of debt are fanned into "bubbles" (rapidly rising asset prices), which improve until they "pop," when new bubbles are devised, until no more borrowers can be found and the pyramid finally collapses.

Before 1933, when the dollar went off the gold standard, the tether of gold served to limit the expansion of the money supply; but since then, the Fed's explication to collapsed bubbles has been to pump ever more newly-created money into the system. When the savings and loan associations collapsed, precipitating a stepping back in the 1980s, the Fed lowered interest rates and fanned the 1990s stock shop bubble. When that bubble collapsed in 2000, the Fed dropped interest rates even further, creating the housing bubble of the current decade. When lenders ran out of "prime" borrowers, they turned to "subprime" borrowers - those who would not have superior under the older, tougher standards. It was all part of the structural imperative of all Ponzi schemes, that the inflow of cash must continually improve to pay the citizen at the top. This expansion, however, has mathematical limits. In 2004, the Fed had to begin raising rates to tame inflation and to reserve the burgeoning federal debt by making government bonds more provocative to investors. The housing bubble was then punctured, and many subprime borrowers went into default.

The Subprime Mess and the Derivatives Scam

In the ever-growing need to find new borrowers, lending standards were relaxed. Adjustable rate mortgages, interest-only loans, no- or low-down-payment loans, and no-documentation loans made "home ownership" ready to nearly anything willing to take the bait. The risks of these loans were then minimized by off-loading them onto unsuspecting investors. The loans were sliced up, bundled with less risky mortgages, and sold as mortgage-backed securities called "collateralized debt obligations" (Cdos). To induce rating agencies to give Cdos triple-A ratings, "derivatives" were thrown into the mix, ostensibly protecting investors from loss.

Derivatives are basically side bets that some investment (a stock, commodity, etc.) will go up or down in value. The simplest form is a "put" that pays the investor if an asset he owns goes down, neutralizing his risk. But most derivatives today are far more difficult to understand than that. Some critics say they are impossible to understand, because they were intentionally designed to mislead investors. By December 2006, agreeing to the Bank for International Settlements, the derivatives trade had grown to 5 trillion. This is a Ponzi scheme on its face, since the sum is nearly nine times the size of the entire world economy. A thing is worth only what it will fetch in the market, and there is no shop in any place on the planet that can afford to pay up on these speculative bets.

The current shop implosion began when investment bank Bear Stearns, which had been buying Cdos straight through its hedge funds, complete two of those funds in June 2007. When the creditors tried to get their money back, the Cdos were put up for sale, and there were no takers at in any place near their stated valuations. Panic spread, as expanding numbers of investment banks had to preclude "runs" on their hedge funds by refusing withdrawals by investors implicated about fraudulent Cdo valuations. When the question became too big for the investment banks to handle, the central banks stepped in with their 0 billion lifeline.

Among those institutions rescued was Countrywide Financial, the largest U.S. Mortgage lender. Countrywide was being called the next Enron, not only because it was facing bankruptcy but because it was guilty of some quite shady practices. It underwrote and sold hundreds of thousands of mortgages containing false and misleading information, which were then sold in the shop as "securities." The lack of "liquidity" was blamed directly on these corrupt practices, which frightened investors away from the markets. But that did not deter the Fed from sending in a lifeboat. Countrywide was saved when Bank of America bought billion of its stock with a loan made ready by the Fed at newly-reduced interest rates. Bank of America also got a nice windfall, since when investors learned that Countrywide was being rescued, the stock it just purchased shot up.

Where did the Fed itself get the money? Chris Powell of Gata (the Gold Anti-Trust operation Committee) commented, "[I]n central banking, if you need money for anything, you just sit down and type some up and click it over to person who is ready to do as you ask with it." He added:

"If it works for the Federal Reserve, Bank of America, and Countrywide, it can work for every person else. For it is no more difficult for the Fed to conjure billion for Bank of America and its friends to "invest" in Countrywide than it would be for the Fed to wire a few thousand dollars into your checking account, calling it, say, an improve on your next tax cut or a mortgage interest rebate awarded to you because some big, bad lender encouraged you to buy a McMansion with no money down in the expectation that you could flip it in a few months for enough profit to buy a quarterly house."3

Which brings us to the point here: if somebody is going to be "reflating" the cheaper by typing up money on a computer screen, it should be Congress itself, the publicly accountable entity that alone is authorized to originate money under the Constitution.

The Way Out

Economic collapse has been the predictable end of all Ponzi schemes ever since the Mississippi bubble of the eighteenth century. The only way out of this fix is to reverse the sleight of hand that got us into it. If new money must be pumped into the economy, it should be done, not by secret banks for secret profit, but by the citizen collectively straight through their representative government; and the money should be spent, not on bailing out banks and hedge funds that have lost speculative shop gambles, but on socially efficient services such as rebuilding infrastructure.

When deflation is tackled by creating new money in the form of debt to secret banks, the consequent is a spiraling vortex of debt and price inflation. The better explication is to put debt-free money into consumers' pockets in the form of wages earned. Workers are increasingly losing their jobs to "outsourcing." A government exercising its sovereign right to issue money could pay those workers to build power plants using "clean" energy, high-speed trains, and other needed infrastructure. The government could then fee users a fee for these services, recycling the money from the government to the cheaper and back again, avoiding inflation.

Other considerations aside, we naturally cannot afford the bank bailouts arrival down the pike. If it takes 0 billion to avert a shop collapse precipitated by a few failing hedge funds, what will the price tag be when the 0-plus trillion derivatives bubble collapses? Rather than bailing out banks that have usurped our sovereign right to originate money, we the citizen should skip the middlemen and originate our own money, debt- and interest-free. As William Jennings Bryan said in a historic speech a century ago:

"[The bankers] tell us that the issue of paper money is a function of the bank and that the government ought to go out of the banking business. I stand with Jefferson . . . And tell them, as he did, that the issue of money is a function of the government and that the banks should go out of the governing business. . . . [W]hen we have restored the money of the Constitution, all other necessary reforms will be possible, and . . . Until that is done there is no reform that can be accomplished."

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1. James Barth, et al., "Financial Crises and the Role of the Lender of Last Resort," Federal reserve of Atlanta Economic tell (January 1984), pages 58-67.

2. George Selgin, "Legal Restrictions, Financial Weakening, and the Lender of Last Resort," http://www.cato.org (1989).

3. Chris Powell, "Central Banking Is Easy," http://www.gata.com (August 23, 2007).

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